Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.502060 0.552119 0.605905 0.668142 0.738358 0.815333 0.906387
2025-11-23 0.416719 0.485262 0.564268 0.662691 0.782886 0.926005 1.110985
2025-11-30 0.371145 0.448974 0.543023 0.666297 0.825480 1.026686 1.304424
2025-12-07 0.332950 0.414717 0.517203 0.657013 0.845793 1.096305 1.461581
2025-12-14 0.303241 0.387018 0.495292 0.648099 0.862519 1.159433 1.614034
2025-12-21 0.274049 0.356804 0.466490 0.625730 0.856539 1.187986 1.717441
2025-12-28 0.260795 0.346465 0.462967 0.637086 0.898107 1.287559 1.938502
2026-01-04 0.248402 0.336047 0.458034 0.645254 0.934782 1.382508 2.163759
2026-01-11 0.236362 0.325039 0.451085 0.649288 0.964734 1.469127 2.385916
2026-01-18 0.225204 0.314384 0.443626 0.651487 0.991338 1.552258 2.612585
2026-01-25 0.216196 0.306180 0.439037 0.657430 1.024025 1.648324 2.875724
2026-02-01 0.203751 0.291984 0.424270 0.645701 1.025673 1.690095 3.041016
2026-02-08 0.196325 0.285132 0.420625 0.652178 1.059749 1.794736 3.349583
2026-02-15 0.186926 0.274671 0.410603 0.647196 1.073152 1.862832 3.594703
2026-02-22 0.180137 0.267858 0.405890 0.650694 1.101863 1.962807 3.924419
2026-03-01 0.171397 0.257414 0.394553 0.641674 1.106285 2.015198 4.156088
2026-03-08 0.163417 0.247757 0.383911 0.633014 1.110416 2.067139 4.395292
2026-03-15 0.153620 0.234637 0.366713 0.611276 1.087174 2.059460 4.488667
2026-03-22 0.150361 0.232149 0.367407 0.622312 1.129625 2.196288 4.969137
2026-03-29 0.146761 0.228881 0.366519 0.630249 1.166439 2.325223 5.455673
2026-04-05 0.142718 0.224645 0.363664 0.634169 1.195191 2.439422 5.926341
2026-04-12 0.138640 0.220137 0.360051 0.636305 1.220272 2.548126 6.405204
2026-04-19 0.135345 0.216820 0.358372 0.642080 1.253704 2.681037 6.986636